Tuesday, October 28, 2008

One week to the election - Democratic electoral win in simulations

There is essentially not change from last week in the electoral vote simulations as predicted by the InTrade prediction market data for each state.

The median vote tally for Obama has crept up to 345, but the states in the strong and weak Democrat, and strong and weak republican columns have remain almost the same. With Indiana and Missouri wobbling back and forth but not changing party identities. MSNBC and others still try to make this look like a race, but the prediction markets say otherwise.

I will run the simulation again one more time next week before the election is over and then we can do some analysis.

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